The seat has been vacant since August 22, when Reann Gasper (Conservative) resigned it. Candidates and dates: Elections BC.
Headlines publish automatically and link to the outlet. A reported seat change raises a proposal for review; it enters the chronology only once confirmed.
| Firm | Dates | NDP | Con | Green | Centre | OneBC | Other | Sample | Method | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angus Reid | Sep 8 to 15, 2026 | 41 | 37 | 13 | · | · | 9 | 749 | Online | NDP +4 |
| Ipsos | Sep 8 to 14, 2026 | 45 | 35 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 800 | Online | NDP +10 |
| Research Co. | Aug 12 to 14, 2026 | 44 | 39 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 801 | Online | NDP +5 |
| 604 Polling | Jul 31 to Aug 8 , 2026 | 35 | 45 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1,124 | IVR | Con +10 |
| Yorkville Strategies | Jul 28 to Aug 3 , 2026 | 46 | 40 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1,016 | Online | NDP +6 |
| Fairview Strategy | Jul 6 to 17, 2026 | 44 | 40 | 12 | · | · | 5 | 896 | Online | NDP +4 |
| Angus Reid | Jun 1 to 12, 2026 | 36 | 47 | 11 | · | · | 6 | 755 | Online | Con +11 |
| Research Co. | Jun 3 to 5, 2026 | 42 | 42 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 803 | Online | NDP +0 |
| Leger | Jun 1 to 2, 2026 | 41 | 45 | 8 | · | · | 6 | 1,002 | Online | Con +4 |
| Angus Reid | Apr 24 to 28, 2026 | 36 | 46 | 13 | · | · | 4 | 804 | Online | Con +10 |
| Mainstreet Research | Apr 9 to 13, 2026 | 38 | 32.8 | 16.1 | · | 10.9 | 2.2 | 1,275 | Smart IVR | NDP +5.2 |
| Leger | Apr 3 to 6, 2026 | 44 | 40 | 10 | · | 3 | 4 | 1,003 | Online | NDP +4 |
| Angus Reid | Mar 11 to 17, 2026 | 42 | 44 | 9 | · | · | 7 | 499 | Online | Con +2 |
| Mainstreet Research | Mar 11 to 13, 2026 | 39 | 37 | 12 | · | · | 13 | 1,054 | Smart IVR | NDP +2 |
| Innovative Research | Feb 6 to March 3, 2026 | 39 | 47 | 10 | · | · | 4 | 991 | Online | Con +8 |
| Pallas Data | Feb 12 to 27, 2026 | 42 | 40 | 11 | · | 5 | 2 | 1,256 | IVR | NDP +2 |
| One Persuasion | Feb 21 to 24, 2026 | 37 | 41 | 11 | · | 6 | 5 | 1,005 | Online | Con +4 |
| Pallas Data | Feb 12 to 14, 2026 | 42 | 37 | 13 | · | 6 | 2 | 988 | IVR | NDP +5 |
| Leger | Feb 6 to 9, 2026 | 44 | 39 | 9 | · | 5 | 2 | 1,007 | Online | NDP +5 |
| Leger | Jan 23 to 26, 2026 | 44 | 38 | 9 | · | 6 | 3 | 1,003 | Online | NDP +6 |
| Mainstreet Research | Dec 17 to 18, 2025 | 41 | 41 | 10 | · | 7 | · | 1,902 | Smart IVR | NDP +0 |
| Pallas Data | Dec 11 to 13, 2025 | 44 | 39 | 9 | · | 7 | 1 | 923 | IVR | NDP +5 |
| Angus Reid | Nov 26 to Dec 1 , 2025 | 43 | 40 | 11 | · | · | 8 | 463 | Online | NDP +3 |
| Yorkville Strategies | Nov 24 to 25, 2025 | 40 | 42 | 8 | · | 5 | 4 | 600 | IVR | Con +2 |
| EKOS | Nov 20 to 25, 2025 | 44 | 35 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 889 | Telephone | NDP +9 |
| Angus Reid | Oct 23 to 25, 2025 | 40 | 41 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1,044 | Online | Con +1 |
| Abacus Data | Oct 9 to 15, 2025 | 47 | 40 | 8 | 3 | 1 | · | 1,000 | Online | NDP +7 |
| Leger | Oct 10 to 12, 2025 | 48 | 38 | 8 | · | · | 7 | 1,035 | Online | NDP +10 |
| Cardinal Research | Oct 4 to 6, 2025 | 42.5 | 41.3 | 10 | · | 3.8 | 2.5 | 1,088 | IVR | NDP +1.2 |
| Research Co. | Oct 1 to 3, 2025 | 44 | 38 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 801 | Online | NDP +6 |
| Angus Reid | Aug 28 to Sep 5 , 2025 | 42 | 44 | 10 | · | · | 4 | 811 | Online | Con +2 |
| Mainstreet Research | Jun 23 to 24, 2025 | 41 | 44 | 7 | · | · | 8 | 943 | Smart IVR | Con +3 |
| Research Co. | Jun 7 to 9, 2025 | 43 | 42 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 803 | Online | NDP +1 |
| Leger | May 23 to 25, 2025 | 45 | 39 | 11 | · | · | 5 | 1,032 | Online | NDP +6 |
| Canadian Election Study | Apr 29 to May 13 , 2025 | 42 | 34 | 6 | · | · | 18 | 1,649 | Online | NDP +8 |
| Liaison Strategies | May 2 to 4, 2025 | 45 | 47 | 7 | · | · | 2 | 800 | IVR | Con +2 |
| Research Co. | Mar 3 to 5, 2025 | 44 | 42 | 11 | · | · | 3 | 802 | Online | NDP +2 |
| Pallas Data | Feb 15, 2025 | 48.8 | 40.7 | 7.6 | · | · | 2.9 | 677 | IVR | NDP +8.1 |
| Leger | Jan 24 to 26, 2025 | 44 | 42 | 10 | · | · | 4 | 1,001 | Online | NDP +2 |
| 338Canada: British Columbia projection | Sep 20 18:00 PT | no change yet |
| BC Greens: candidates 2026 | Sep 20 18:00 PT | no change yet |
| BC NDP caucus: news | Sep 20 18:00 PT | no change yet |
| BC NDP: candidates | Sep 20 18:00 PT | no change yet |
| CentreBC: home page | unreachable | no change yet |
| Conservative Party of BC: home page | Sep 20 18:00 PT | changed Sep 20 15:00 PT |
| Elections BC: Abbotsford-Mission by-election | Sep 20 18:00 PT | no change yet |
| Elections BC: election advertising | Sep 20 18:00 PT | no change yet |
| Elections BC: on-demand election calendar | Sep 20 18:00 PT | no change yet |
| Elections BC: provincial elections hub | unreachable | no change yet |
| Elections BC: registered political parties | Sep 20 18:00 PT | no change yet |
| Legislative Assembly: parliamentary calendar | Sep 20 18:00 PT | no change yet |
| OneBC: home page | Sep 20 18:00 PT | no change yet |
Polls: the table maintained on Wikipedia's article for the 44th BC general election, each row linked to the pollster's release, checked every 30 minutes. Averages are simple means, unweighted. Seat projections are 338Canada's to publish, so they are linked rather than copied. No prediction market on a BC provincial election is open today.
Portraits and ministerial offices: Legislative Assembly of British Columbia, read Sep 20 18:10 PT. Parliamentary secretary and caucus roles: BC NDP caucus site. Select a member for their record.
3 candidates published so far, out of 465 seats across the five parties. An election called this week would have final voting day on October 24.
| Riding | Sitting member | 2024 margin | Projected | Candidates | News |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peace River North | Jordan Kealy | 54.2% | Conservative | None yet | · |
| North Coast-Haida Gwaii | Tamara Davidson | 29.8% | BC NDP | None yet | · |
| Bulkley Valley-Stikine | Sharon Hartwell | 13.4% | Conservative | None yet | · |
| Peace River South | Larry Neufeld | 45.3% | Conservative | None yet | · |
| Skeena | Claire Rattée | 6.8% | Conservative | None yet | 3 |
| Nechako Lakes | John Rustad | 40.2% | Conservative | None yet | 3 |
| Prince George-Mackenzie | Kiel Giddens | 32.7% | Conservative | None yet | · |
| Prince George-North Cariboo | Sheldon Clare | 35.0% | Conservative | None yet | · |
| North Island | Anna Kindy | 2.1% | Conservative | None yet | · |
| Cariboo-Chilcotin | Lorne Doerkson | 39.2% | Conservative | None yet | · |
| Prince George-Valemount | Rosalyn Bird | 20.3% | Conservative | None yet | · |
| Mid Island-Pacific Rim | Josie Osborne | 9.3% | BC NDP | None yet | · |
| Courtenay-Comox | Brennan Day | 0.3% | Conservative | None yet | · |
| Kamloops-North Thompson | Ward Stamer | 26.8% | Conservative | None yet | · |
| Columbia River-Revelstoke | Scott McInnis | 3.7% | Conservative | None yet | · |
| Kootenay-Rockies | Pete Davis | 12.3% | Conservative | None yet | · |
| Ladysmith-Oceanside | Stephanie Higginson | 6.0% | BC NDP | None yet | · |
| Nanaimo-Lantzville | George Anderson | 12.2% | BC NDP | None yet | · |
| Fraser-Nicola | Tony Luck | 17.9% | Conservative | None yet | · |
| Kamloops Centre | Peter Milobar | 7.9% | BC NDP gain | None yet | 11 |
| Salmon Arm-Shuswap | David Williams | 21.7% | Conservative | None yet | · |
| Kootenay Central | Brittny Anderson | 8.0% | BC NDP | None yet | · |
| Nanaimo-Gabriola Island | Sheila Malcolmson | 18.1% | BC NDP | None yet | · |
| Cowichan Valley | Debra Toporowski | 2.9% | BC NDP | None yet | · |
| Vernon-Lumby | Harwinder Sandhu | 1.7% | BC NDP | None yet | · |
| Kelowna-Lake Country-Coldstream | Tara Armstrong | 18.7% | Conservative | None yet | · |
| Kootenay-Monashee | Steve Morissette | 13.2% | BC NDP | None yet | · |
| Juan de Fuca-Malahat | Dana Lajeunesse | 0.6% | BC NDP | None yet | · |
| Saanich North and the Islands | Rob Botterell | 4.0% | BC Green | None yet | · |
| West Kelowna-Peachland | Macklin McCall | 22.9% | Conservative | None yet | · |
| Kelowna Centre | Kristina Loewen | 0.2% | BC NDP gain | None yet | · |
| Kelowna-Mission | Gavin Dew | 18.9% | Conservative | None yet | · |
| Langford-Highlands | Ravi Parmar | 14.5% | BC NDP | None yet | · |
| Saanich South | Lana Popham | 17.3% | BC NDP | None yet | · |
| Powell River-Sunshine Coast | Randene Neill | 13.9% | BC NDP | None yet | · |
| Boundary-Similkameen | Donegal Wilson | 5.8% | BC NDP gain | None yet | 3 |
| Penticton-Summerland | Amelia Boultbee | 1.1% | Conservative | Warren Hamm | · |
| Esquimalt-Colwood | Darlene Rotchford | 22.2% | BC NDP | None yet | · |
| Oak Bay-Gordon Head | Diana Gibson | 20.2% | BC NDP | None yet | · |
| Victoria-Beacon Hill | Grace Lore | 13.9% | BC Green gain | None yet | · |
| Victoria-Swan Lake | Nina Krieger | 32.9% | BC NDP | None yet | · |
| West Vancouver-Sea to Sky | Jeremy Valeriote | 2.5% | BC Green | Jeremy Valeriote | · |
| West Vancouver-Capilano | Lynne Block | 19.5% | Conservative | None yet | · |
| North Vancouver-Lonsdale | Bowinn Ma | 29.8% | BC NDP | None yet | · |
| North Vancouver-Seymour | Susie Chant | 17.0% | BC NDP | None yet | · |
| Vancouver-Point Grey | David Eby | 22.3% | BC NDP | None yet | 8 |
| Vancouver-West End | Spencer Chandra Herbert | 35.8% | BC NDP | None yet | · |
| Vancouver-Yaletown | Terry Yung | 6.4% | BC NDP | None yet | · |
| Vancouver-Strathcona | Vacantwas Joan Phillip | 51.1% | BC NDP | None yet | · |
| Vancouver-Hastings | Niki Sharma | 39.9% | BC NDP | None yet | · |
| Vancouver-Renfrew | Adrian Dix | 32.6% | BC NDP | None yet | · |
| Vancouver-Quilchena | Dallas Brodie | 12.7% | BC NDP gain | None yet | · |
| Vancouver-South Granville | Brenda Bailey | 39.4% | BC NDP | None yet | · |
| Vancouver-Little Mountain | Christine Boyle | 31.5% | BC NDP | None yet | · |
| Vancouver-Kensington | Mable Elmore | 29.4% | BC NDP | None yet | · |
| Vancouver-Fraserview | George Chow | 20.6% | BC NDP | None yet | · |
| Vancouver-Langara | Sunita Dhir | 2.4% | BC NDP | None yet | · |
| Burnaby Centre | Anne Kang | 14.6% | BC NDP | None yet | · |
| Burnaby North | Janet Routledge | 10.3% | BC NDP | None yet | · |
| Burnaby East | Rohini Arora | 11.3% | BC NDP | None yet | · |
| Richmond-Steveston | Kelly Greene | 2.1% | BC NDP | None yet | · |
| Richmond Centre | Hon Chan | 15.2% | Conservative | None yet | · |
| Richmond-Bridgeport | Teresa Wat | 23.4% | Conservative | None yet | · |
| Richmond-Queensborough | Steve Kooner | 6.8% | Conservative | None yet | · |
| Burnaby South-Metrotown | Paul Choi | 7.7% | BC NDP | None yet | · |
| Burnaby-New Westminster | Raj Chouhan | 25.3% | BC NDP | None yet | · |
| New Westminster-Coquitlam | Jennifer Whiteside | 29.3% | BC NDP | None yet | · |
| Coquitlam-Maillardville | Jennifer Blatherwick | 12.2% | BC NDP | None yet | · |
| Port Coquitlam | Mike Farnworth | 15.1% | BC NDP | None yet | · |
| Port Moody-Burquitlam | Rick Glumac | 11.6% | BC NDP | None yet | · |
| Coquitlam-Burke Mountain | Jodie Wickens | 1.7% | BC NDP | None yet | · |
| Delta South | Ian Paton | 10.1% | BC NDP gain | Jim McMurtry | · |
| Delta North | Ravi Kahlon | 12.5% | BC NDP | None yet | · |
| Surrey City Centre | Amna Shah | 1.6% | BC NDP | None yet | · |
| Surrey-Newton | Jessie Sunner | 8.2% | BC NDP | None yet | · |
| Surrey-Guildford | Garry Begg | 0.1% | BC NDP | None yet | · |
| Surrey-Fleetwood | Jagrup Brar | 3.7% | BC NDP | None yet | · |
| Surrey North | Mandeep Dhaliwal | 7.4% | Conservative | None yet | · |
| Maple Ridge-Pitt Meadows | Lisa Beare | 9.8% | BC NDP | None yet | · |
| Maple Ridge East | Lawrence Mok | 0.4% | Conservative | None yet | · |
| Langley-Walnut Grove | Misty Van Popta | 4.8% | Conservative | None yet | · |
| Abbotsford-Mission | Vacantwas Reann Gasper | 10.8% | Conservative | None yet | 19 |
| Surrey-White Rock | Trevor Halford | 7.0% | Conservative | None yet | 2 |
| Surrey-Panorama | Bryan Tepper | 1.5% | Conservative | None yet | · |
| Surrey-Serpentine River | Linda Hepner | 2.2% | Conservative | None yet | 9 |
| Surrey-Cloverdale | Elenore Sturko | 2.8% | BC NDP gain | None yet | · |
| Surrey South | Brent Chapman | 17.7% | Conservative | None yet | · |
| Langley-Willowbrook | Jody Toor | 3.8% | Conservative | None yet | · |
| Langley-Abbotsford | Harman Bhangu | 21.9% | Conservative | None yet | · |
| Abbotsford West | Korky Neufeld | 21.5% | Conservative | None yet | · |
| Abbotsford South | Bruce Banman | 26.4% | Conservative | None yet | · |
| Chilliwack North | Heather Maahs | 16.9% | Conservative | None yet | · |
| Chilliwack-Cultus Lake | Á'a:líya Warbus | 9.2% | BC NDP gain | None yet | · |
The projection is this site's own simulator at the current polling average, with the independents toggle off. It is a swing calculator on the 2024 result, not a forecast. Margins are 2024, as a share of valid votes in that riding. Candidates are read off each party's own site and reviewed before they appear here; Elections BC's nomination list supersedes them once an election is called.
Swipe sideways for the Lower Mainland.
A swing calculator on the 2024 results, not a forecast. NDP and Green move in proportion to their province-wide change. The right-of-centre vote in each riding scales with the combined Conservative, CentreBC and OneBC share and divides among them by their ratio, except that a party with a sitting MLA takes at least the incumbent share there, with its vote elsewhere reduced so the share you entered still holds province-wide. The 30 per cent default comes from 2024: five ex-BC United incumbents ran without the brand and took 21 to 42 per cent of the right-of-centre vote in their ridings. None won. Other candidates never contest a seat. For a modelled forecast, see 338Canada.